[h=1]How to bet 2016 Ryder Cup[/h]Will HarrisDave Tuley
ESPN INSIDER
ESPN Chalk experts Dave Tuley and Will Harris each offer their insights and strongest bets for this weekend's Ryder Cup at Hazeltine National Golf Club in Chaska, Minnesota.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Dave Tuley:
I'm taking a different approach (pun intended) to betting this weekend's Ryder Cup.<offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer> Instead of picking the winner, I'm going to make a case for the draw. It opened at 12-1 at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and has since been bet down to 11-1 as of Tuesday.
The U.S. team is favored, but it's not like it's lopsided, as the 2-way line is just -0.5. If it was expected to be a runaway, it would be -1.5, so even though the European team doesn't look as strong, it's projected to be pretty close.
<aside class="inline inline-table float-r" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: BentonSans, -apple-system, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; border: 1px solid rgb(220, 221, 223); clear: none; margin: 6px 0px 15px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 282.5px; float: right; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;">
<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">2-Way Result</caption><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside><aside class="inline inline-table float-r" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: BentonSans, -apple-system, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; border: 1px solid rgb(220, 221, 223); clear: none; margin: 6px 0px 15px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 282.5px; float: right; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;">
<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">3-Way Result</caption><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside>It's fair to wonder how often the Ryder Cup ends in a tie, which would require a 14-14 split of the 28 total matches played Friday through Sunday at Hazeltine. The last time it happened was in 1989, so there have been 12 Ryder Cups played since, and the next closest draw was 10 matches before that, in 1969; so historically, odds of 11-1 or 12-1 are pretty fair.
In addition, even though the last dozen Ryder Cups haven't ended in a draw, six of those cases have been decided 14.5-13.5, so if the losing side had been able to halve just one more match (or pull out a win in one of the halved matches), we could be looking at more draws. It's not like we're asking for a very unlikely scenario.
So, while this is far from a certain thing, I believe the value is there at 10-1 or better. Besides, don't forget that there's one more thing working in favor of a draw: Even though the European team is an underdog, it doesn't need to win to retain the Ryder Cup for another two years. The defending champ also keeps the Cup with a draw, so there could be a situation in the final head-to-head matches where the Europeans can lay up or play conservatively to go for the tie.
The Europeans would be just as satisfied with a draw as an outright win -- and those willing to take a shot at the draw at double-digit odds could be just as happy, as well.
ESPN Chalk experts Dave Tuley and Will Harris each offer their insights and strongest bets for this weekend's Ryder Cup at Hazeltine National Golf Club in Chaska, Minnesota.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Dave Tuley:
I'm taking a different approach (pun intended) to betting this weekend's Ryder Cup.<offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer> Instead of picking the winner, I'm going to make a case for the draw. It opened at 12-1 at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and has since been bet down to 11-1 as of Tuesday.
The U.S. team is favored, but it's not like it's lopsided, as the 2-way line is just -0.5. If it was expected to be a runaway, it would be -1.5, so even though the European team doesn't look as strong, it's projected to be pretty close.
<aside class="inline inline-table float-r" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: BentonSans, -apple-system, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; border: 1px solid rgb(220, 221, 223); clear: none; margin: 6px 0px 15px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 282.5px; float: right; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;">
<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">2-Way Result</caption><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside><aside class="inline inline-table float-r" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: BentonSans, -apple-system, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; border: 1px solid rgb(220, 221, 223); clear: none; margin: 6px 0px 15px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 282.5px; float: right; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;">
<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">3-Way Result</caption><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside>It's fair to wonder how often the Ryder Cup ends in a tie, which would require a 14-14 split of the 28 total matches played Friday through Sunday at Hazeltine. The last time it happened was in 1989, so there have been 12 Ryder Cups played since, and the next closest draw was 10 matches before that, in 1969; so historically, odds of 11-1 or 12-1 are pretty fair.
In addition, even though the last dozen Ryder Cups haven't ended in a draw, six of those cases have been decided 14.5-13.5, so if the losing side had been able to halve just one more match (or pull out a win in one of the halved matches), we could be looking at more draws. It's not like we're asking for a very unlikely scenario.
So, while this is far from a certain thing, I believe the value is there at 10-1 or better. Besides, don't forget that there's one more thing working in favor of a draw: Even though the European team is an underdog, it doesn't need to win to retain the Ryder Cup for another two years. The defending champ also keeps the Cup with a draw, so there could be a situation in the final head-to-head matches where the Europeans can lay up or play conservatively to go for the tie.
The Europeans would be just as satisfied with a draw as an outright win -- and those willing to take a shot at the draw at double-digit odds could be just as happy, as well.
Westwood ventured the opinion that Tiger Woods' involvement as vice captain might be an unwelcome distraction for the American side, but all accounts are that Woods' contributions have been both significant and well-received. His role, along with that of the other vice captains and contributors, such as Lehman, has been smoothly incorporated into the preparation. It's all hands on deck this time around, and the organization that Love has built is completely aligned in both objective and process. The team itself is indeed "Twelve Strong," as posters, patches and stickers constantly remind them.
The unity and buy-in of this team are off the charts when compared with past American Ryder Cup editions. Meanwhile, the Europeans, who must make the transatlantic trip to a course that does not favor them, are suffering a bit with a weaker captain, a far less experienced roster and vaguely defined leadership roles.
The bottom line is that the European side has won in recent history because it has been tighter and more invested. This year, however, the Americans can finally claim those advantages.
We're bought in too. It's not the American team that will succeed or fail this year, it's the whole process. A bet on the Americans is a vote of confidence for the task force, the product it created and the underlying mentality that created it. It's also a vote of confidence in the leadership duo of Love and Mickelson outperforming Clarke and Westwood. The mission of said task force is to bring the Ryder Cup back via the creation of a winning formula. To the Americans, therefore, a tie is a loss -- which is why we're eschewing the half-point and tie options, aligning our action with the appropriate narrative. That means playing the three-way number at -175. We were really enthusiastic about this play a few months ago, when the price was much lower. Value erodes significantly as it approaches 2-1, but at -175, we still have enough belief in the Americans' edges in talent, experience, mindset, preparation, chemistry and leadership to give it a look.
ESPN INSIDER
ESPN Chalk experts Dave Tuley and Will Harris each offer their insights and strongest bets for this weekend's Ryder Cup at Hazeltine National Golf Club in Chaska, Minnesota.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Dave Tuley:
I'm taking a different approach (pun intended) to betting this weekend's Ryder Cup.<offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer> Instead of picking the winner, I'm going to make a case for the draw. It opened at 12-1 at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and has since been bet down to 11-1 as of Tuesday.
The U.S. team is favored, but it's not like it's lopsided, as the 2-way line is just -0.5. If it was expected to be a runaway, it would be -1.5, so even though the European team doesn't look as strong, it's projected to be pretty close.
<aside class="inline inline-table float-r" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: BentonSans, -apple-system, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; border: 1px solid rgb(220, 221, 223); clear: none; margin: 6px 0px 15px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 282.5px; float: right; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;">
| Europe -½ +190 | USA -220 |
| Europe +175 | USA PK -220 |
| Europe +155 | USA -½ -175 |
<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">2-Way Result</caption><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside><aside class="inline inline-table float-r" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: BentonSans, -apple-system, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; border: 1px solid rgb(220, 221, 223); clear: none; margin: 6px 0px 15px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 282.5px; float: right; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;">
| Europe +190 | USA -175 | Tie +1200 |
<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">3-Way Result</caption><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside>It's fair to wonder how often the Ryder Cup ends in a tie, which would require a 14-14 split of the 28 total matches played Friday through Sunday at Hazeltine. The last time it happened was in 1989, so there have been 12 Ryder Cups played since, and the next closest draw was 10 matches before that, in 1969; so historically, odds of 11-1 or 12-1 are pretty fair.
In addition, even though the last dozen Ryder Cups haven't ended in a draw, six of those cases have been decided 14.5-13.5, so if the losing side had been able to halve just one more match (or pull out a win in one of the halved matches), we could be looking at more draws. It's not like we're asking for a very unlikely scenario.
So, while this is far from a certain thing, I believe the value is there at 10-1 or better. Besides, don't forget that there's one more thing working in favor of a draw: Even though the European team is an underdog, it doesn't need to win to retain the Ryder Cup for another two years. The defending champ also keeps the Cup with a draw, so there could be a situation in the final head-to-head matches where the Europeans can lay up or play conservatively to go for the tie.
The Europeans would be just as satisfied with a draw as an outright win -- and those willing to take a shot at the draw at double-digit odds could be just as happy, as well.
ESPN Chalk experts Dave Tuley and Will Harris each offer their insights and strongest bets for this weekend's Ryder Cup at Hazeltine National Golf Club in Chaska, Minnesota.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Dave Tuley:
I'm taking a different approach (pun intended) to betting this weekend's Ryder Cup.<offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer> Instead of picking the winner, I'm going to make a case for the draw. It opened at 12-1 at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and has since been bet down to 11-1 as of Tuesday.
The U.S. team is favored, but it's not like it's lopsided, as the 2-way line is just -0.5. If it was expected to be a runaway, it would be -1.5, so even though the European team doesn't look as strong, it's projected to be pretty close.
<aside class="inline inline-table float-r" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: BentonSans, -apple-system, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; border: 1px solid rgb(220, 221, 223); clear: none; margin: 6px 0px 15px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 282.5px; float: right; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;">
| Europe -½ +190 | USA -220 |
| Europe +175 | USA PK -220 |
| Europe +155 | USA -½ -175 |
<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">2-Way Result</caption><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside><aside class="inline inline-table float-r" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: BentonSans, -apple-system, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; border: 1px solid rgb(220, 221, 223); clear: none; margin: 6px 0px 15px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 282.5px; float: right; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;">
| Europe +190 | USA -175 | Tie +1200 |
<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">3-Way Result</caption><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside>It's fair to wonder how often the Ryder Cup ends in a tie, which would require a 14-14 split of the 28 total matches played Friday through Sunday at Hazeltine. The last time it happened was in 1989, so there have been 12 Ryder Cups played since, and the next closest draw was 10 matches before that, in 1969; so historically, odds of 11-1 or 12-1 are pretty fair.
In addition, even though the last dozen Ryder Cups haven't ended in a draw, six of those cases have been decided 14.5-13.5, so if the losing side had been able to halve just one more match (or pull out a win in one of the halved matches), we could be looking at more draws. It's not like we're asking for a very unlikely scenario.
So, while this is far from a certain thing, I believe the value is there at 10-1 or better. Besides, don't forget that there's one more thing working in favor of a draw: Even though the European team is an underdog, it doesn't need to win to retain the Ryder Cup for another two years. The defending champ also keeps the Cup with a draw, so there could be a situation in the final head-to-head matches where the Europeans can lay up or play conservatively to go for the tie.
The Europeans would be just as satisfied with a draw as an outright win -- and those willing to take a shot at the draw at double-digit odds could be just as happy, as well.
Westwood ventured the opinion that Tiger Woods' involvement as vice captain might be an unwelcome distraction for the American side, but all accounts are that Woods' contributions have been both significant and well-received. His role, along with that of the other vice captains and contributors, such as Lehman, has been smoothly incorporated into the preparation. It's all hands on deck this time around, and the organization that Love has built is completely aligned in both objective and process. The team itself is indeed "Twelve Strong," as posters, patches and stickers constantly remind them.
The unity and buy-in of this team are off the charts when compared with past American Ryder Cup editions. Meanwhile, the Europeans, who must make the transatlantic trip to a course that does not favor them, are suffering a bit with a weaker captain, a far less experienced roster and vaguely defined leadership roles.
The bottom line is that the European side has won in recent history because it has been tighter and more invested. This year, however, the Americans can finally claim those advantages.
We're bought in too. It's not the American team that will succeed or fail this year, it's the whole process. A bet on the Americans is a vote of confidence for the task force, the product it created and the underlying mentality that created it. It's also a vote of confidence in the leadership duo of Love and Mickelson outperforming Clarke and Westwood. The mission of said task force is to bring the Ryder Cup back via the creation of a winning formula. To the Americans, therefore, a tie is a loss -- which is why we're eschewing the half-point and tie options, aligning our action with the appropriate narrative. That means playing the three-way number at -175. We were really enthusiastic about this play a few months ago, when the price was much lower. Value erodes significantly as it approaches 2-1, but at -175, we still have enough belief in the Americans' edges in talent, experience, mindset, preparation, chemistry and leadership to give it a look.
